Professor Sergi Pardos-Prado​​​​​

Tutor in Politics

I'm an Associate Professor and Official Fellow in Politics at Merton College, University of Oxford. I spend most of my time these days conducting research and teaching in the areas of political behaviour, European comparative politics, political economy, and quantitative methods. Before that, I obtained my PhD in Political and Social Sciences at the European University Institute in Florence.


I work on two main lines of research. The first deals with political behaviour and comparative politics questions in Europe, and the second deals with the impact of migration processes on public attitudes and political outcomes. Part of my work also conceals these two lines of research. More specifically, I have devoted some time now to analyse how the immigration issue is incorporated into patterns of political competition, and how it affects electoral and redistribution outcomes.

Comparative political behaviour and economy

Regarding my political behaviour and comparative politics line of research, I am working on a number of projects studying outcomes like voting behaviour, redistribution preferences, economic perceptions, and political participation among others. I'm particularly interested in understanding how different macro-level configurations of party systems, ideological dimensions, and tax systems affect individual preferences and rational behaviour. For instance, I'm currently using experimental and observational methods to observe the exogenous impact of corruption on preferences for fiscal and political decentralization. I'm also assessing from a longitudinal perspective how economic conditions affect party issue attention over the electoral cycle, and how authoritarian regimes are able to shape the ideological dimensionality and pattern of political competition once they become democracies.

Migration politics

As for my research on immigration, I mostly analyse the determinants of attitudes towards immigration across space and time, and the impact of immigration on redistribution preferences. I'm currently the UK Principal Investigator of a project on attitudes towards immigration funded by the Swiss Network of International Studies. My current work in this area focuses on variations in labour-market demand (rather than supply) shaping anti-immigrant attitudes, and on levels of tax progressivity moderating the impact of income on preferences. More recently, I started analyzing the impact of immigration policy on foreigners' long-term political integration, and the determinants of anti-immigrant populist voting as a function of redistribution and demographic pressures.  My current work on immigration aims for high levels of both external and internal validity, observing cross-national patterns and identifying more local causal effects with experimental and semi-experimental methodologies.

Ongoing research

  • 'Corruption and support for fiscal decentralisation' (with Theresa Kuhn), under review.
  • 'The cost of diversity: tax progressivity, ethnic diversity, and support for redistribution' (with Carla Xena), under review.
  • 'Immigration policy and foreigners' political integration' (with Carla Xena), in progress.
  • 'Macro-economic conditions and extreme right success', in progress.
  • 'The shadow of dictatorships: authoritarianism and issue constraint as determinants of new party emergence' (with Anja Neundorf), in progress.
  • 'Immigration policy and terrorist attacks' (with Julian Wucherpfennig and Sara Polo), in progress.

Refereed journal articles

Sergi Pardos-Prado and Carla Xena (forthcoming) 'Skill Specificity and Attitudes towards Immigration', American Journal of Political Science. [replication]

​Sergi Pardos-Prado and Inaki Sagarzazu (forthcoming) ’Economic Responsiveness and the Political Conditioning of the Electoral Cycle’, The Journal of Politics. [replication]

Sergi Pardos-Prado and Inaki Sagarzazu (forthcoming) "Economic Performance and Center-Periphery Conflicts in Party Competition", Party Politics.

Jordi Muñoz and Sergi Pardos-Prado (forthcoming) "Immigration and Support for Social Policy. An Experimental Comparison of Universal and Means-Tested Programs", Political Science Research and Methods.

Sergi Pardos-Prado and Iñaki Sagarzazu (2016) "The Political Conditioning of Subjective Economic Evaluations: The Role of Party Discourse", British Journal of Political Science, 46(4): 799-823.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2015) "How Can Mainstream Parties Prevent Niche Party Success? Center-Right Parties and the Immigration Issue", The Journal of Politics, 77(2): 352-367. [replication]

Laura Morales, Sergi Pardos-Prado and Virginia Ros (2015) "Issue emergence and the dynamics of electoral competition around immigration in Spain", Acta Politica, 50: 461-485.

Sergi Pardos-Prado, Bram Lancee and Iñaki Sagarzazu (2014) "Immigration and Electoral Change in Mainstream Political Space", Political Behavior, 36: 847-875.

Sergi Pardos-Prado, Carolina Galais and Jordi Munoz (2014) "The Dark Side of Proportionality: Conditional Effects of Proportional Features on Turnout", Electoral Studies, 35: 253-264.

Marta Fraile and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2014) "The Correspondence between the Objective and the Subjective Economies: the Role of Personal Economic Circumstances", Political Studies, 62(4): 895-912.

Aina Gallego and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2014) "The Big Five Personality Traits and Attitudes towards Immigrants", Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 40(1): 79-99.

Bram Lancee and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2013) "Group Conflict Theory in a Longitudinal Perspective: Analysing the Dynamic Side of Ethnic Competition", International Migration Review, 47(1): 106-131.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2012) "The Electoral Effect of Immigration Preferences and the Centre-Periphery Cleavage", South European Society and Politics, 17(3): 503-518.

Elias Dinas and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2012) "A Hidden Giant? Exploring the Centrifugal Dynamics of Attitudes towards the European Unification", Acta Politica, 47: 378-399.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2012) "Valence beyond Consensus: Party Competence and Policy Dispersion from a Comparative Perspective", Electoral Studies, 31(2): 342-352.

Sergi Pardos-Prado and Francesc Cano (2012) "Education and media exposure across systemic levels of conflict", International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 24(2): 121-140.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2011) "Framing attitudes towards immigrants in Europe: when competition does not matter", Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 37(7): 999-1015.

Sergi Pardos-Prado and Elias Dinas (2010) "Systemic Polarisation and Spatial Voting", European Journal of Political Research, 49(6): 759-786.

Sergi Pardos-Prado and Joaquim M. Molins (2009) "The emergence of right-wing radicalism at the local level in Spain: the Catalan case", International Journal of Iberian Studies, 22(3): 201-218.

Joaquim M. Molins and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2006) "Il voto di ‘castigo’ anti-immigrazione nelle elezioni comunali in Catalogna" (Protest anti-immigrant vote in the local elections in Catalonia), Quaderni dell’Osservatorio Elettorale, 56: 39-67.


Sergi Pardos-Prado (2012) Xenofòbia a les urnes. Sobre com la reacció contra els immigrants es transforma en resultats electorals. (Xenophobia at the polls. On how anti-immigrant reactions are transformed into electoral outcomes). Barcelona: Columna. ISBN: 978-84-6641-519-4. (256 pages).

Sergi Pardos i Prado (2006) La influència del vot temàtic en el comportament electoral: la dialèctica entre estructura i conjuntura. Un estudi de cas. (The influence of issue voting on electoral behaviour: the logic between structure and context. A case study). Barcelona: Institut de Ciències Polítiques i Socials. ISBN: 84-690-0067-5. (129 pages).

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2006) Nació, valors, immigració. Nous reptes per a Europa. (Nation, values, immigration. New challenges for Europe) Barcelona: Fundació Ramon Trias Fargas. (60 pages).

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2005) A canvi de res? Els perquès del civisme actual. (In exchange of nothing? The reasons of contemporary civic actions). Barcelona: Pòrtic. ISBN: 84-9809-003-2. (142 pages).

Book chapters and other manuscripts

Sergi Pardos-Prado and Pedro Riera (2015) "The neglected dimension of the cartel party thesis: ideological convergence and political efficacy in established democracies". In Muller-Rommel, F. and Casal Bertoa, F. (eds.). Party Politics and Democracy in Europe: Essays in Honor of Peter Mair. Abingdon/New York: Routledge.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2014) "The Electoral Effect of Immigration Preferences and the Centre-Periphery Cleavage", in Sánchez-Cuenca, I. and Dinas, E. Voters and Parties in the Spanish Political Space. Abingdon/New York: Routledge.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2012) "Inmigración y comportamiento electoral: Cataluña desde una perspectiva comparada" (Immigration and electoral behaviour: Catalonia from a comparative perspective), Migration Paper Series n. 23, Barcelona: International Documentation Centre.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2011) "Linking institutions and individual political behaviour", European Political Science 10: 478-487 [book review].

Fernando Casal, Mónica Ferrín and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2010) "Spain". In Wojciech Gagatek (ed.) The 2009 Elections to the European Parliament. Florence: European University Institute. ISBN: 978-92-9084-051-0. pp 165-169.

Eva Anduiza and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2009) "Introducció: com analitzar l’estat de la democràcia?" (Introduction: how to analyse the state of democracy?). In Eva Anduiza (ed.) Informe sobre l’Estat de la Democràcia a Catalunya 2007. Barcelona: Fundació Jaume Bofill. ISBN: 978-84-8334-938-0. pp 15-46.

Robert Liñeira and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2009) "Actors col.lectius: associacions, partits i mitjans de comunicació" (Collective actors: associations, parties and media). In Eva Anduiza (ed.) Informe sobre l’Estat de la Democràcia a Catalunya 2007. Barcelona: Fundació Jaume Bofill. ISBN: 978-84-8334-938-0. pp 245-319.

Joaquim M. Molins and Sergi Pardos-Prado (2007) "Las elecciones autonómicas de 2003 en Cataluña: resultados, tendencias, ciclos, coyuntura e ideología". (The 2003 regional elections in Catalonia: results, tendencies, cycles, context and ideology). In Joaquim M. Molins and Pablo Oñate (eds.) Elecciones y comportamiento electoral en la España multinivel. Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas. ISBN: 84-7476-416-5. pp 105-136.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2006) "¿Qué es y cómo se crea la opinión pública?". (What is and how is public opinion formed?). In Eva Anduiza (ed.) Opinión pública y medio ambiente. Barcelona: Graó. ISBN: 84-7827-436-7. pp 11-42.

Sergi Pardos-Prado (2006) "Técnicas de observación de la opinión pública". (Techniques to observe public opinion). In Eva Anduiza (ed.) Opinión pública y medio ambiente. Barcelona: Graó. ISBN: 84-7827-436-7. pp 70-118.

Joaquim M. Molins and Sergi Pardos (2005) "Las elecciones municipales de 2003 en Cataluña: el ruido contra la estructura. Lo global y lo local". (The 2003 local elections in Catalonia: the noise vs. the structure. The global and the local). In Francisco Llera and Pablo Oñate (eds.) Política comparada: entre lo local y lo global. Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas. ISBN: 84-7476-382-7. pp 91-118.